What the Polls Aren’t Telling Us About Trump’s Lead

Former President Donald Trump is trending up in the election.

He leads President Joe Biden by two to seven points in multi-candidate races in all swing states, according to an average of polls conducted from January through March. Trump is still in the lead when third-party candidates are excluded.

Swing States

Trump leads Biden in 2024 general election polls based on the averages of January through March 2024 polls (multi). The leads maintain when third-party candidates are excluded (binary).

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