J. Ann Selzer, Pollster Who Predicted Harris Would Win Iowa, Retires Following Huge Miss

J. Ann Selzer, pollster who predicted Kamala Harris would win Iowa, has retired following a huge miss. 

On Sunday, Selzer announced her departure in a guest op-ed for The Des Moines Register and stated that she is planning to transition “to other ventures and opportunities.” 

“Would I have liked to make this announcement after a final poll aligned with Election Day results? Of course. It’s ironic that it’s just the opposite,” Selzer wrote.

The Saturday before Election Day, Selzer had released a Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll in which she had projected Vice President Kamala Harris 3 points ahead of President-elect Donald Trump in the race for the state’s six electoral votes. 

The prediction was a 7-point shift toward Harris from the same survey a month prior, and 16 points off the real election result. 

The poll then began to spark hope among Democrats that Harris had a chance to win Iowa even though Trump had won it in 2016 and 2020. 

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